League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2026 8.00pm
MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Accrington 3 - 1 Gillingham
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Ronan Hale

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Port Vale 1 - 0 Chesterfield
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
George Byers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gillingham win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Port Vale has a probability of 28.44% and a draw has a probability of 27.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Port Vale win is 0-1 (9.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.84%).

Result

Gillingham 44.2% ▲ (+0.23)
Draw 27.36% ▲ (+0.19)
Port Vale 28.44% ▼ (-0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.08% ▼ (-0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 30.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 44.11% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 55.89% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 23.26% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 76.74% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 12.19% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 4.5 87.81% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Gillingham 29.36% ▲ (+0.72)
Draw 46.42% ▲ (+0.21)
Port Vale 24.23% ▼ (-0.92)

Team To Score First

Gillingham 49.14% ▲ (+1.64)
No Goal 8.99% ▲ (+0.07)
Port Vale 41.87% ▼ (-1.70)

Corners

Over 8 57.73% ▼ (-1.67)
Equal 8 11.93% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 8 30.34% ▲ (+1.22)
Over 9 45.57% ▼ (-1.97)
Equal 9 12.17% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 9 42.27% ▲ (+1.67)
Over 10.5 34.24% ▼ (-2.09)
Under 10.5 65.76% ▲ (+2.10)

Gillingham Goals

Over 1.5 39.3% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 60.7% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 16.01% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 2.5 83.99% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 3.5 5.34% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 94.66% ▼ (-0.15)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 61.56% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 0.5 38.44% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 1.5 27.12% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 72.88% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 2.5 8.76% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 91.24% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 2.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.66% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Gillingham 44.2%
Draw 27.36%
Port Vale 28.46%
Gillingham
1-0 @ 12.12% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 44.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 27.36%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 28.46%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Mitch Clark 81' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Rowe 56'
  • yellowcard Remeao Hutton 67'
  • yellowcard Robbie McKenzie 86'
League Two Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
  • Ethan Coleman 72' yellowcard
  • Jayden Clarke 79' goal
  • Jack Nolan 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jayden Stockley 40'
League One
Feb 11, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Herd 22' yellowcard
  • Adedeji Oshilaja 58' yellowcard
  • Rory Donnelly 63' yellowcard
  • Josh Parker 95' goal
  • goal Remie Streete 49'
  • yellowcard Kjell Knops 64'
  • yellowcard Remie Streete 77'
League One
Sep 17, 2016 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Remie Streete 76' goal
  • Alex Jones 84' goal
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Osadebe 22'
  • goal Josh Wright 25'
  • yellowcard Adedeji Oshilaja 36'
  • yellowcard Scott Wagstaff 58'
  • yellowcard Max Ehmer 75'
League One
Apr 16, 2016 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ryan Jackson 45' yellowcard
  • Rory Donnelly 58' yellowcard
  • Bradley Dack 62' yellowcard
  • Aaron Morris 97' yellowcard
  • goal Ajay Leitch-Smith 19'
  • goal Carl Dickinson 21'
  • yellowcard Michael O'Connor 45'
  • yellowcard Jak Alnwick 74'
  • yellowcard Anthony Grant 95'
League One
Aug 15, 2015 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ben Purkiss 29' yellowcard
  • Louis Dodds 35' goal
  • goal Bradley Dack 17'
  • yellowcard Adedeji Oshilaja 25'
  • yellowcard Ryan Jackson 28'
  • yellowcard Bradley Garmston 31'
  • yellowcard Jordan Houghton 54'
  • yellowcard Bradley Dack 67'
  • yellowcard John Egan 75'