Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm

3

1

HT : 2 1

FT Wham Stadium

Devon Matthews 6'
Stefan Mols 11'
Donald Love 19'
Josh Woods 28'
Josh Woods 66'

Harry Waldock 21'
Devon Matthews 31' (OG)
Armani Little 33'
Ronan Hale 79'

Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

D
D
W
D
D
D

League Two

D
W
D
D
L
W

Last game

Oct 10, 2026 12.30pm

Oldham 0 - 0 Accrington

Goals scored

16

Top scorer

Charlie Caton

Gillingham

All competitions

W
W
D
L
L
W

League Two

W
D
L
W
W
W

Last game

Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm

Rotherham 1 - 4 Gillingham

Goals scored

16

Top scorer

Ronan Hale

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Accrington Stanley 43.24% ▲ (+0.33)

Draw 26.93% ▼ (-0.20)

Gillingham 29.83% ▼ (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score:

52.36% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.92% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 28.08% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 2.5 45.99% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 54.01% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 25.34% ▲ (+0.50)

Under 3.5 74.66% ▼ (-0.50)

Over 4.5 13.46% ▲ (+0.46)

Under 4.5 86.54% ▼ (-0.45)

First Half Winner

Accrington Stanley 34.38% ▲ (+0.57)

Draw 43.56% ▲ (+0.35)

Gillingham 22.06% ▼ (-0.91)

Team To Score First

Accrington Stanley 55% ▼ (-0.72)

No Goal 7.84% ▼ (-0.12)

Gillingham 37.16% ▲ (+0.82)

Corners

Over 8 62.01% ▼ (-1.59)

Equal 8 11.32% ▲ (+0.30)

Under 8 26.67% ▲ (+1.29)

Over 9 50.06% ▼ (-1.74)

Equal 9 11.95% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 9 37.99% ▲ (+1.59)

Over 10.5 38.54% ▼ (-1.75)

Under 10.5 61.46% ▲ (+1.75)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 1.5 39.45% ▲ (+0.22)

Under 1.5 60.55% ▼ (-0.22)

Over 2.5 16.44% ▲ (+0.33)

Under 2.5 83.56% ▼ (-0.32)

Over 3.5 5.3% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 3.5 94.7% ▼ (-0.18)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 64.66% ▼ (-0.21)

Under 0.5 35.34% ▲ (+0.21)

Over 1.5 29.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 70.53% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 9.65% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 2.5 90.35% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 3.5 2.83% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 3.5 97.17% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 43.25%

Draw 26.95%

Gillingham 29.82%

Accrington Stanley

1-0 @ 11.35% ▲ (+0.12)

2-1 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.23)

2-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.14)

3-1 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.09)

3-0 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.13)

3-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.17)

Other @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.17)

Total : 43.25%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.35% ▼ (-0.07)

0-0 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.12)

2-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.05)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 26.95%

Gillingham

0-1 @ 8.91% ▲ (+0.02)

1-2 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.12)

0-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.08)

1-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.02)

0-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.08)

Total : 29.82%

Head to Head

Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Andy Smith 36'
Jonathan Williams 55'
Garath McCleary 56'
Jonathan Williams 56'
Bradley Dack 62'
Sam Vokes 83'
Conor Masterson 83'
Louie Dayal 84'

Devon Matthews 58'
58'
Paddy Madden 58'
Liam Coyle 58'
Paddy Madden 61'
D. Abimbola 74'
Luke Butterfield 84'

Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Wham Stadium

Benn Ward 38'
Benn Ward 45'+3'
Devon Matthews 55'
Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh 58'
Seamus Conneely 60'
Ben Woods 77'
Tyler Walton 81'
Liam Coyle 90'+3'

Sam Gale 43'
Armani Little 77'
Max Clark 90'+4'

Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)

Armani Little 49'
Armani Little 89'

Ben Woods 60'
Donald Love 66'
Tyler Walton 85'
Zach Awe 90'
Dara Costelloe 90'+4'

Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT Wham Stadium

Joe Gubbins 44'
Lewis Shipley 45'+1'
Alex Henderson 50'

Tom Nichols 45'
Conor Masterson 62'
Macauley Bonne 75'
Scott Malone 82'
Tom Nichols 90'+1'

Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Dom Jefferies 4'
Ashley Nadesan 29'
Shadrach Ogie 58'
Max Ehmer 90'

Josh Andrews 26'
Jay Bagueloc'rich 62'

Form Data

Oldham 0 - 0 Accrington

Accrington 1 - 1 Salford City

Accrington 2 - 0 Cheltenham

Swindon 1 - 1 Accrington

Accrington 3 - 3 Sunderland U21s

Accrington 0 - 0 Newport

Gillingham 4 - 3 Brighton U21s

Rotherham 1 - 4 Gillingham

Gillingham 0 - 0 Newport

York City 3 - 0 Gillingham

Gillingham 1 - 4 Cambridge

Gillingham 3 - 0 Bristol Rovers