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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Reading |
| 46.51% ( | 23.96% ( | 29.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.93% ( | 43.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.53% ( | 65.47% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.3% ( | 18.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.94% ( | 50.06% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( | 27.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% ( | 63.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.4% Total : 46.51% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 3-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.53% |