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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Reading logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Reading

Harris (32')
Goodrham (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brown (76' og.)
Craig (24'), Yiadom (63'), Azeez (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawReading
46.51% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)23.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02)29.53% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 58.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)43.07% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.53% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)65.47% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)18.7% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.94% (-0.11 -0.11)50.06% (0.108 0.11)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47% (0.064000000000007 0.06)27.52% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96% (0.082000000000001 0.08)63.03% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 46.51%
    Reading 29.53%
    Draw 23.96%
Oxford UnitedDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 46.51%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.53%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Reading

Oxford United
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Reading
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Reading
1-1
Oxford Utd
Smith (43')
Craig (19'), Holmes (51')
Brown (39')
Thorniley (37')