League One Gameweek 46
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Sixfields Stadium

Northampton Town vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 7.45pm
Northampton 0 - 1 Barnsley
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Plymouth 2 - 1 Port Vale
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Aribim Pepple

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw has a probability of 23.63% and a win for Northampton Town has a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (10.21%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.62%) , while for a Northampton Town win it is 1-0 (6.44%).

Result

Northampton Town 21.83% (-0.91)
Draw 23.63% (-0.17)
Plymouth Argyle 54.51% (+1.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.17% (-0.80)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.9% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 24.1% (+0.28)
Over 2.5 52.66% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 47.34% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 29.98% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 70.02% (+0.37)
Over 4.5 17.26% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 82.74% (+0.12)

First Half Winner

Northampton Town 22.64%
Draw 41.17%
Plymouth Argyle 36.19%

Team To Score First

Northampton Town 37.2% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.71% (+0.13)
Plymouth Argyle 56.09% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 65.65%
Equal 8 10.6%
Under 8 23.75%
Over 9 54.14%
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 34.35%
Over 10.5 42.71%
Under 10.5 57.29%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 1.5 24.59% (-1.04)
Under 1.5 75.41% (+1.04)
Over 2.5 8.06% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 91.94% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 2.06% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 97.94% (+0.18)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 80.61% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 19.39% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 51.57% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 48.43% (-0.51)
Over 2.5 25.15% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 74.85% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 9.78% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 90.22% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 21.84%
Draw 23.63%
Plymouth Argyle 54.51%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 6.44% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 5.47% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 3.13% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.85% (-0.16)
Total : 21.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 6.71% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.21% (-0.02)
Total : 23.63%
Plymouth Argyle
0-1 @ 10.93% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 10.21%
0-2 @ 9.48% (+0.33)
0-3 @ 5.75% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 5.68% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.07)
Other @ 9.57% (+0.25)
Total : 54.51%

Head to Head

League One
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Mathias Ross 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Lorent Tolaj 65' redcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Thorniley 5'
  • yellowcard Ethan Wheatley 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Conor McCarthy 53'
  • goal Tom Eaves 58'
  • yellowcard Terry Taylor 69'
  • goal Elliott List 76'
  • goal Jordan Willis 80'
  • yellowcard Michael Forbes 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 33
Mar 2, 2021 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
  • Ryan Watson 40' goal
  • Jonathan Mitchell 40' yellowcard
  • Lloyd Jones 54' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 63' yellowcard
  • Ryan Watson 65' goal
  • Danny Rose 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tyrese Fornah 76'
  • redcard Sam Woods 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 6
Oct 17, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Byron Moore 21' yellowcard
  • Frank Nouble 41' goal
  • George Cooper 50' yellowcard
  • Kelland Watts 86' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Watson 43'
  • goal Ricky Korboa 62'
  • yellowcard Danny Rose 66'
  • yellowcard Cian Bolger 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2020 3.00pm
Home Park
League Two Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2019 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Ryan Watson 7' goal
  • Andrew Williams 21' goal
  • Andrew Williams 41' goal
  • Matthew Warburton 47' yellowcard
  • Joe Bunney 76' yellowcard
  • Charlie Goode 84' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Riley 10'
  • yellowcard Danny Mayor 50'
  • yellowcard Joe Edwards 67'
League One
Apr 21, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matt Grimes 25' yellowcard
  • John-Joe O'Toole 42' goal
  • Sonny Bradley 61' goal
  • Ash Taylor 87' yellowcard