Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.