League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 27
Aug 9, 2026 5.00pm
Tolka Park

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 3.00pm
Waterford 1 - 0 Shelbourne
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Harry Wood

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 5.00pm
St Patrick's 1 - 1 Derry
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
R. Edmondson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shelbourne win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic has a probability of 36.74% and a draw has a probability of 26.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win is 0-1 (8.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.33%).

Result

Shelbourne 37.01% (+0.01)
Draw 26.25% (+0.02)
St Patrick's Athletic 36.74% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.89%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.96%
Under 1.5 24.04%
Over 2.5 51.85%
Under 2.5 48.16% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 30.56%
Under 3.5 69.44%
Over 4.5 17.59% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.41% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Shelbourne 30.16% (+0.02)
Draw 42.65% (-0.01)
St Patrick's Athletic 27.19%

Team To Score First

Shelbourne 46.89% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.81%
St Patrick's Athletic 46.3% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.87% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.99%
Under 8 28.14% (+0.02)
Over 9 49.42%
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 39.13% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 38.45%
Under 10.5 61.55%

Shelbourne Goals

Over 1.5 38.28% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 61.72% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.74% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.26% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.48% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.52% (+0.02)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 71.01% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.99% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.02%
Under 1.5 61.98%
Over 2.5 15.57% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.43% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.37% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.63% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Shelbourne 37.01%
Draw 26.25%
St Patrick's Athletic 36.74%
Shelbourne
1-0 @ 8.55% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 6.03% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 2.85% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.34% (-0.01)
Total : 37.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 5.65% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.01)
Total : 26.25%
St Patrick's Athletic
0-1 @ 8.68% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.76%
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.23% (-0.01)
Total : 36.74%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 15, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Romal Palmer 76' yellowcard
  • Darragh Nugent 77' yellowcard
  • Aidan Keena 80' yellowcard
  • Sam Rooney 89' yellowcard
  • Jason McClelland 89' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Walsh 46'
  • yellowcard Evan Caffrey 46'
  • yellowcard Sean Gannon 58'
  • yellowcard Daniel Kelly 58'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Freitas 73'
  • goal Daniel Kelly 81'
  • yellowcard Ellis Chapman 89'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 6, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
  • Evan Caffrey 46' yellowcard
  • Maill Lundgren 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Kelly 63' yellowcard
  • John Martin 63' yellowcard
  • Harry Wood 72' goal
  • John Martin 75' goal
  • Ali Coote 83' yellowcard
  • goal R. Edmondson 56'
  • goal R. Edmondson 61'
  • yellowcard Aidan Keena 69'
  • yellowcard Anto Breslin 74'
  • yellowcard Max Mata 74'
  • goal Max Mata 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ronan Boyce 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier
Nov 1, 2025 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
Jun 16, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joe Redmond 39' yellowcard
  • 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Tom Grivosti 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Alistair Coote 10'
  • yellowcard 35'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 35'
  • yellowcard Sam Bone 63'
  • yellowcard Patrick Barrett 73'
  • yellowcard Daniel Kelly 77'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tolka Park
  • Tyreke Wilson 22' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Lunney 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Harry Wood 48' goal
  • Mark Coyle 51' yellowcard
  • Kerr McInroy 90' goal
  • goal Mason Melia 29'
  • yellowcard Sean Hoare 53'
  • yellowcard Jake Mulraney 90'+5'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
Apr 4, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Jamie Lennon 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Coyle 27'
  • yellowcard John Martin 28'
  • yellowcard Kerr McInroy 83'