La Liga Gameweek 38
Villarreal
May 25, 2025 3.15pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
Sevilla
  • Yeremy Pino 4' goal
  • Pape Gueye 8' goal
  • Alex Baena 39' goal
  • Pape Gueye 53' goal
  • goal Djibril Sow 29'
  • yellowcard Jose Angel Carmona 43'
  • goal Ramon Martinez Gil 85'

Villarreal vs Sevilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 6.00pm
Barcelona 2 - 3 Villarreal
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Ayoze Perez

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 6.00pm
Sevilla 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dodi Lukebakio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result

Villarreal 58.96% ▲ (+1.45)
Draw 21.27% ▼ (-0.32)
Sevilla 19.77% ▼ (-1.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.09% ▼ (-0.80)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.59% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 40.4% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 37.21% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 3.5 62.78% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 4.5 19.95% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 4.5 80.05% ▲ (+0.14)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 86.59% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 0.5 13.4% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 1.5 59.66% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 1.5 40.33% ▼ (-0.78)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 65.93% ▼ (-1.22)
Under 0.5 34.07% ▲ (+1.22)
Over 1.5 29.25% ▼ (-1.34)
Under 1.5 70.75% ▲ (+1.33)

Score analysis

Villarreal 58.96%
Draw 21.27%
Sevilla 19.77%
Villarreal
2-1 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.33)
1-0 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.31)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.11)
4-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.20)
4-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 58.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.88% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.27%
Sevilla
1-2 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.24)
0-1 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 19.77%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 2
Sevilla
Aug 23, 2024 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Villarreal
  • Isaac Romero 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dodi Lukebakio 45'+6' goal
  • Jose Angel Carmona 81' yellowcard
  • Marcao 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Arnaut Danjuma 2'
  • yellowcard Alex Baena 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Arnaut Danjuma 63'
  • yellowcard Eric Bailly 84'
  • yellowcard Dani Parejo 88'
  • goal Ayoze Perez 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Ayoze Perez 90'+9'
La Liga Gameweek 35
Villarreal
May 11, 2024 3.15pm
3
2
HT : 2 4
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
Sevilla
  • Alexander Sorloth 30' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 30' goal
  • Jorge Cuenca 63' yellowcard
  • Pepe Reina 76' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ocampos 78' yellowcard
  • Yerson Mosquera 84' goal
  • Eric Bailly 88' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Tanguy Kouassi 17'
  • yellowcard Tanguy Kouassi 17'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 26'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 26'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 44'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 44'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ocampos 70'
  • yellowcard Kike Salas 88'
  • yellowcard Lucien Agoume 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 90'+7'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Sevilla
Dec 3, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Villarreal
  • Djibril Sow 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Juanlu Sanchez 52' yellowcard
  • Kike Salas 75' goal
  • Ivan Rakitic 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfonso Pedraza 45'
  • yellowcard Marcelino 46'
  • yellowcard Adria Altimira 54'
  • goal Jose Luis Morales 77'
  • yellowcard Pepe Reina 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Sevilla
Apr 23, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Villarreal
  • Rafa Mir 34' goal
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 90'+4' goal
  • goal Pau Torres 55'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Villarreal
Sep 18, 2022 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
Sevilla
  • Alex Baena 51' goal
  • goal Oliver Torres 8'
La Liga Gameweek 35
Villarreal
May 8, 2022 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Sevilla
  • Samuel Chukwueze 4' yellowcard
  • Giovani Lo Celso 45' yellowcard
  • Etienne Capoue 73' yellowcard
  • Giovani Lo Celso 86' goal
  • goal Jules Kounde 90'+5'

Form Data

Barcelona 2 - 3 Villarreal
Villarreal 3 - 0 Leganes
Girona 0 - 1 Villarreal
Villarreal 4 - 2 Osasuna
Villarreal 1 - 0 Espanyol
Celta Vigo 3 - 0 Villarreal
Sevilla 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Sevilla 1 - 0 Las Palmas
Celta Vigo 3 - 2 Sevilla
Sevilla 2 - 2 Leganes
Osasuna 1 - 0 Sevilla
Sevilla 1 - 1 Alaves