La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 18, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla

Valladolid
0 - 1
Alaves

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kike (18' pen.)
Vicente (90'), Conechny (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 0-1 Girona
Tuesday, May 13 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Valencia
Wednesday, May 14 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Alaves in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Alaves.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Alaves
24.51% ( 0.02)	25.99% ( -0)	49.49% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.43% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.07% (

0.02)

54.93% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.78% (

0.02)

76.22% (

-0.02)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.28% (

0.02)

37.72% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.5% (

0.02)

74.5% (

-0.02)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

0.01)

22.23% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34% (

0.01)

55.66% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 24.51%

Alaves 49.49%

Draw 25.99%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 24.51%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 12.61% 0-2 @ 9.48% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.49%