La Liga Gameweek 12
Nov 8, 2026 3.15pm
Anoeta Stadium

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 1 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Luka Sucic

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 3.15pm
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 0 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Sergio Camello

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 25.69% and a draw has a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win is 2-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 1-2 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.08%).

Result

Real Sociedad 49.98% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 24.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Rayo Vallecano 25.69% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.62% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.98% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 22.02% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 55.16% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 44.84% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 3.5 32.18% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 3.5 67.82% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 4.5 18.57% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 4.5 81.43% ▼ (-0.26)

First Half Winner

Real Sociedad 36.28% ▼ (-0.34)
Draw 41.5% ▲ (+0.25)
Rayo Vallecano 22.22% ▲ (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Real Sociedad 57.29% ▲ (+0.36)
No Goal 6.08% ▼ (-0.09)
Rayo Vallecano 36.63% ▼ (-0.28)

Corners

Over 8 60.95% ▼ (-0.29)
Equal 8 10.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 8 28.52% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 9 49.96% ▼ (-0.20)
Equal 9 11% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 39.05% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 10.5 39.36% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 60.63% ▲ (+0.11)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 1.5 49.72% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 50.28% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 23.47% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 76.53% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 9.16% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 90.84% ▼ (-0.22)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 62.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 37.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 29.6% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 70.4% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 10.72% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 89.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.92% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 49.98%
Draw 24.29%
Rayo Vallecano 25.69%
Real Sociedad
2-1 @ 10% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.21)
Total : 49.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.29%
Rayo Vallecano
1-2 @ 6.71%
0-1 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.69%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 26, 2026 1.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Sergio Camello 30' goal
  • Alexandre Zurawski 64' yellowcard
  • Jorge de Frutos 64' yellowcard
  • Pedro Díaz 64' yellowcard
  • Gerard Gumbau 68' yellowcard
  • Fran Pérez 82' yellowcard
  • Florian Lejeune 84' goal
  • Alexandre Zurawski 90'+9' goal
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 22'
  • yellowcard Pablo Marín 56'
  • yellowcard Luka Sucic 56'
  • goal Orri Óskarsson 63'
  • yellowcard Yangel Herrera 67'
  • yellowcard Jon Gorrotxategi 67'
  • yellowcard Mikel Oyarzabal 76'
  • yellowcard Aihen Muñoz 90'+1'
La Liga
Oct 5, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Sergi Guardiola 40' yellowcard
  • Oscar Trejo 58' goal
  • Pedro Diaz 72' goal
  • Florian Lejeune 74' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Espino 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 11'
  • goal Martin Zubimendi 20'
  • yellowcard Ander Barrenetxea 60'
  • goal Arkaitz Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta 80'
Copa del Rey
Jan 16, 2025 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Reale Arena
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 24' goal
  • Martin Zubimendi 43' yellowcard
  • Jon Ander Olasagasti 45'+1' goal
  • Sergio Gomez 79' goal
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 17'
  • goal Oscar Trejo 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 59'
  • redcard Alfonso Espino 77'
  • yellowcard Isi 81'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Urko Gonzalez de Zarate 27' yellowcard
  • Jon Aramburu 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Martin Zubimendi 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Unai Lopez 32'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 53'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 56'
  • yellowcard Adri Embarba 57'
  • goal Jorge de Frutos 67'
  • goal Sergio Camello 84'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Javi Galan 70' yellowcard
  • Jon Pacheco 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 7'
  • yellowcard Francisco 8'
  • yellowcard Ivan Balliu 18'
  • yellowcard Unai Lopez 57'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 85'