La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 9, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

McBurnie (44'), Essugo (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (66')
Valentin (26'), Isi (76'), Batalla (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions

Last Game: Las Palmas 2-3 Valencia
Saturday, May 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Getafe
Friday, May 2 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
34.27% ( 0.07)	26.49% ( 0.09)	39.24% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 52.36% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.55% (

-0.37)

52.45% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.87% (

-0.31)

74.12% (

0.31)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92% (

-0.14)

29.08% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35% (

-0.17)

65% (

0.17)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83% (

-0.25)

26.16% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.76% (

-0.34)

61.24% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 34.27%

Rayo Vallecano 39.24%

Draw 26.49%

Las Palmas	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.27%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.24%