Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.