Jamaica national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 15, 2024 at 1am UK
Independence Park
USA national football team

Jamaica
0 - 1
USA


Lowe (61'), Lowe (61'), Bailey (69'), Bailey (69'), Holgate (76'), Holgate (76'), Hayden (90+3'), Hayden (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pepi (5', 5')
McKennie (50'), McKennie (50'), Robinson (69'), Robinson (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Jamaica and USA, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-0 Honduras
Tuesday, October 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

USA

All competitions
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 USA
Wednesday, October 16 at 3.30am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for USA in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for USA.

Result
JamaicaDrawUSA
30.39% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)28.97% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)40.64% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)62.39% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.98% (0.0010000000000012 0)82.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)36.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27% (-0.023 -0.02)73.73% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)30.13% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)66.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 30.39%
    USA 40.64%
    Draw 28.95%
JamaicaDrawUSA
1-0 @ 11.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 30.39%
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 11.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.95%
0-1 @ 13.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 40.64%

How you voted: Jamaica vs USA

Jamaica
18.2%
Draw
21.8%
USA
60.0%
55
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2024 11pm
Semi-Finals
USA
3-1
Jamaica
Burke (90+6' og.), Wright (96', 109')
Scally (12')
Leigh (1')
Lembikisa (51'), Palmer (54'), Lowe (69')
> Preview
Jun 25, 2023 3am
Group Stage
USA
1-1
Jamaica
Vazquez (88')
Lowe (13')
Lowe (3'), Lawrence (83'), Blake (85')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2021 10pm
Third Round
Jamaica
1-1
USA
Antonio (22')
Watson (8'), Brown (40')
Weah (11')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2021 12.30am
Third Round
USA
2-0
Jamaica
Lawrence (1'), Lowe (34')
> Preview
Jul 26, 2021 2.30am
Quarter-Finals
USA
1-0
Jamaica
Hoppe (83')

Burke (30'), Turgott (50'), Lowe (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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