J1 League Gameweek 7
Sep 12, 2026 11.00am
transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 11.00am
Vissel Kobe 3 - 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Thiago

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 10.00am
Nagoya Grampus 1 - 3 Machida Zelvia
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Yudai Kimura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a V-Varen Nagasaki win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Nagoya Grampus has a probability of 30.86% and a draw has a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a V-Varen Nagasaki win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win is 0-1 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.46%).

Result

V-Varen Nagasaki 43.98% (+0.12)
Draw 25.16% (-0.02)
Nagoya Grampus 30.86% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.95% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.45%
Under 1.5 24.55%
Over 2.5 52.1% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.9% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.56% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 70.44% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.73% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.27% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

V-Varen Nagasaki 31.31% (+0.05)
Draw 43.02% (-0.01)
Nagoya Grampus 25.67% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

V-Varen Nagasaki 51.04% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.93%
Nagoya Grampus 42.03% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.59% (-0.16)
Equal 8 11.65%
Under 8 27.76% (+0.17)
Over 9 48.42% (-0.15)
Equal 9 12.17% (-0.01)
Under 9 39.41% (+0.16)
Over 10.5 36.84% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 63.16% (+0.12)

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 1.5 43.17% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 56.83% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 18.84% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 81.16% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.69% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.31% (-0.04)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 65.56% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 34.44% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 32.86% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 67.14% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 12.53% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.47% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.82% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.18% (+0.02)

Score analysis

V-Varen Nagasaki 43.99%
Draw 25.16%
Nagoya Grampus 30.86%
V-Varen Nagasaki
1-0 @ 10.07% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.23%
2-0 @ 7.18% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.45% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.77% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 6.5% (+0.04)
Total : 43.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.16%
Nagoya Grampus
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.63% (-0.02)
Total : 30.86%