J1 League Gameweek 18
May 25, 2025 5.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT City Light Stadium
  • Kazunari Ichimi 26' goal
  • Kazunari Ichimi 26' goal
  • Takaya Kimura 55' goal
  • Takaya Kimura 55' goal
  • goal Yuki Soma 76'
  • goal Yuki Soma 76'
  • goal Mitchell Duke 81'
  • goal Mitchell Duke 81'

Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 7.00am
Okayama 2 - 1 Albirex Niigata
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Takaya Kimura

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2025 6.00am
Machida Zelvia 3 - 0 Reysol
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Takuma Nishimura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.06%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

Fagiano Okayama 30.2% (-0.05)
Draw 28.85% (+0.01)
Machida Zelvia 40.95% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.29% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.93% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 62.07% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 18.21% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 81.79% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 7.33% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 92.67% (+0.02)

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 0.5 63.08% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 36.91% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 26.3% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 73.7% (+0.06)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 70.21% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.79% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.13% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.87% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Fagiano Okayama 30.19%
Draw 28.84%
Machida Zelvia 40.94%
Fagiano Okayama
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 30.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.99% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.84%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 13.31% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.06% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-3 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 40.94%