J1 League Gameweek 14
Nov 7, 2026 6.00am
Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 5.00am
JEF United 3 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Yu Hashimoto

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 5.00am
V-Varen Nagasaki 1 - 2 Tokyo Verdy
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Kenshin Yasuda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for V-Varen Nagasaki has a probability of 27.83% and a draw has a probability of 26.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Avispa Fukuoka win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest V-Varen Nagasaki win is 0-1 (8.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.59%).

Result

Avispa Fukuoka 45.66% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 26.51% ▲ (+0.07)
V-Varen Nagasaki 27.83% ▲ (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.71% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.34% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 28.66% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 46.15% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 53.82% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 24.67% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 75.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 86.81% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Avispa Fukuoka 33.48% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 46.24% ▲ (+0.15)
V-Varen Nagasaki 20.27% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Avispa Fukuoka 54.19% ▼ (-0.20)
No Goal 8.11% ▲ (+0.02)
V-Varen Nagasaki 37.7% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 52.98% ▼ (-0.23)
Equal 8 12.2%
Under 8 34.82% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 9 41.01% ▼ (-0.20)
Equal 9 11.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 47.02% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 10.5 30.25% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 10.5 69.75% ▲ (+0.16)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 1.5 41.4% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 58.6% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 2.5 17.24% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 82.76% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 5.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 94.14% ▲ (+0.08)

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 0.5 62.1% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 37.9% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 27.39% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 72.61% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 8.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.66% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 45.65%
Draw 26.5%
V-Varen Nagasaki 27.83%
Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 11.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 45.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 26.5%
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-1 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 27.83%