J1 League Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2026 7.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Issei Kumatoriya 10' goal
  • Naoki Soma 16' yellowcard
  • Yuan Matsuhashi 74' goal
  • Shimon Teranuma 90' goal
  • yellowcard Keiya Shiihashi 41'
  • yellowcard Shu Morooka 45'+4'
  • goal Werik Popó 56'
  • yellowcard 68'
  • yellowcard Daiki Miya 68'

Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tokyo Verdy

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
Yokohama 2 - 2 Tokyo Verdy
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Naoki Hayashi

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 2 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Yu Hashimoto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.67%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

Tokyo Verdy 27.73% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 26.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Avispa Fukuoka 45.37% ▼ (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.16%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.42% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 30.58% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 43.61% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 56.39% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 23.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 76.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 12.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 87.47% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Tokyo Verdy 18.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 48.55% ▲ (+0.20)
Avispa Fukuoka 33.15% ▼ (-0.20)

Team To Score First

Tokyo Verdy 35.29% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 9.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Avispa Fukuoka 55.67% ▲ (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 52.04% ▼ (-0.72)
Equal 8 11.98% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 35.97% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 9 40.37% ▼ (-0.63)
Equal 9 11.68% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 47.96% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 10.5 29.92% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 10.5 70.08% ▲ (+0.50)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 1.5 26.4% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 73.6% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 8.67% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 91.33% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.59% ▼ (-0.02)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5 73.42%
Under 0.5 26.58%
Over 1.5 39.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 60.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 16.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 83.67% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.32% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Tokyo Verdy 27.73%
Draw 26.87%
Avispa Fukuoka 45.38%
Tokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 8.89%
2-1 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.87%
Avispa Fukuoka
0-1 @ 12.63% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 45.38%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jan 20, 2026 2.00am
3
4
HT : 0 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
J1 League
Nov 8, 2025 5.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 19
May 31, 2025 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)
  • Masato Yuzawa 32' yellowcard
  • Masato Yuzawa 32' yellowcard
  • Kazuya Konno 64' yellowcard
  • Kazuya Konno 64' yellowcard
  • Shintaro Nago 81' yellowcard
  • Shintaro Nago 81' yellowcard
J1 League Gameweek 24
Jul 20, 2024 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Level-5 stadium
  • goal Hiroto Yamami 38'
  • yellowcard Yuto Tsunashima 57'
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 28, 2024 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • yellowcard Yuji Kitajima 9'
  • yellowcard Yuji Kitajima 9'
  • yellowcard Daiki Matsuoka 46'
  • yellowcard Daiki Matsuoka 46'