J1 League Gameweek 6
Sep 5, 2026 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)
  • Kokoro Maeda 50' yellowcard
  • Shu Morooka 53' goal
  • Shu Morooka 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arata Watanabe 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Yoshiki Torikai 70'
  • yellowcard Yasuki Kimoto 82'
  • goal Yasuki Kimoto 86'

Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 3 Urawa
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Shu Morooka

Mito Hollyhock

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
Mito Hollyhock 4 - 2 Kashima Antlers
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Arata Watanabe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Mito Hollyhock had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Mito Hollyhock win was 0-1 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Avispa Fukuoka 42.09%
Draw 27.25%
Mito Hollyhock 30.63%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.13%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 49.64%
Under 2.5 50.36%
Over 3.5 28.98%
Under 3.5 70.99%
Over 4.5 16.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.79% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Avispa Fukuoka 31.58%
Draw 45.05%
Mito Hollyhock 23.37%

Team To Score First

Avispa Fukuoka 54.38%
No Goal 7.65%
Mito Hollyhock 37.97%

Corners

Over 8 48.7%
Equal 8 12.5%
Under 8 38.81%
Over 9 36.84%
Equal 9 11.86%
Under 9 51.3%
Over 10.5 26.54%
Under 10.5 73.46%

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 1.5 41.47%
Under 1.5 58.53%
Over 2.5 17.43%
Under 2.5 82.57%
Over 3.5 6.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.69% ▲ (+0.01)

Mito Hollyhock Goals

Over 0.5 65.67%
Under 0.5 34.33%
Over 1.5 32.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 12.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 42.08%
Draw 27.25%
Mito Hollyhock 30.62%
Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 10.29% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.17%
3-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.64%
Other @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 42.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 27.25%
Mito Hollyhock
0-1 @ 8.12%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 4.86%
1-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 30.62%