J1 League Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT K's denki Stadium Mito
  • Arata Watanabe 8' goal
  • Arata Watanabe 21' goal
  • Arata Watanabe 48' goal
  • Arata Watanabe 55' goal
  • Kotaro Uchino 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomoki Hayakawa 5'
  • goal Léo Ceará 53'
  • goal Léo Ceará 83'

Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima Antlers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mito Hollyhock

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 10.00am
Mito Hollyhock 1 - 1 Machida Zelvia
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Arata Watanabe

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 11.00am
Tokyo Verdy 0 - 2 Kashima Antlers
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Léo Ceará

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Mito Hollyhock had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%) , while for a Mito Hollyhock win it was 1-0 (8.08%).

Result

Mito Hollyhock 24.59% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 27.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Kashima Antlers 48.01% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.78% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.27% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 29.73% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 44.91% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 55.09% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 23.99% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 76.01% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 13.01% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 86.99% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Mito Hollyhock 20.42%
Draw 43.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Kashima Antlers 36.45% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Mito Hollyhock 33.9%
No Goal 9.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Kashima Antlers 57.01% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.28% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.79%
Under 8 29.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 46.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 12.05%
Under 9 41.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 10.5 34.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 65.02% ▼ (-0.05)

Mito Hollyhock Goals

Over 1.5 24.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.89%
Under 3.5 98.11%

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5 75.67% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 24.33% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 42.87% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 57.13% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 18.38% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 81.62% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 6.64% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 93.36% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Mito Hollyhock 24.59%
Draw 27.38%
Kashima Antlers 48%
Mito Hollyhock
1-0 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 24.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 27.38%
Kashima Antlers
0-1 @ 12.53% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 48%