J1 League Gameweek 2
Aug 15, 2026 11.00am
Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 11.00am
Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 1 Vissel Kobe

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 11.00am
Cerezo 2 - 1 Okayama

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka has a probability of 35.44% and a draw has a probability of 25.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win is 1-0 (8.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.01%).

Result

Avispa Fukuoka 35.44% (+0.04)
Draw 25.88% (-0.14)
Cerezo Osaka 38.68% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.64% (+0.78)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.91% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 24.09% (-0.45)
Over 2.5 52.04% (+0.57)
Under 2.5 47.96% (-0.57)
Over 3.5 29.91% (+0.72)
Under 3.5 70.09% (-0.71)
Over 4.5 16.57% (+0.47)
Under 4.5 83.43% (-0.47)

First Half Winner

Avispa Fukuoka 21.83% (-0.44)
Draw 38.69% (-1.13)
Cerezo Osaka 39.48% (+1.54)

Team To Score First

Avispa Fukuoka 38.31% (+0.86)
No Goal 6.59% (-0.21)
Cerezo Osaka 55.1% (-0.66)

Corners

Over 8 63.4% (+1.88)
Equal 8 11.61% (-0.15)
Under 8 24.99% (-1.75)
Over 9 50.92% (+1.81)
Equal 9 12.48% (+0.09)
Under 9 36.6% (-1.88)
Over 10.5 38.79% (+1.55)
Under 10.5 61.21% (-1.55)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 1.5 36.71% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 63.29% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 14.51% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 85.49% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 4.55% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.45% (-0.05)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 72.2% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 27.8% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 39.74% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 60.26% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 16.33% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 83.67% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 5.67% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 94.33% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 35.44%
Draw 25.88%
Cerezo Osaka 38.69%
Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.6% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.61% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.4% (+0.05)
Total : 35.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.9% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.23% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 25.88%
Cerezo Osaka
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.85% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.92% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.66% (+0.07)
Other @ 5.52% (+0.23)
Total : 38.69%

Head to Head

J1 League
Sep 13, 2025 10.00am
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 18
May 24, 2025 7.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT KINCHO Stadium
  • Lucas Fernandes 53' yellowcard
  • Sota Kitano 64' yellowcard
  • Shinji Kagawa 75' yellowcard
  • Masaya Shibayama 84' goal
  • Rafael Ratao 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Masaya Tashiro 20'
  • yellowcard Daiki Matsuoka 33'
  • yellowcard Yota Maejima 50'
J1 League Gameweek 36
Nov 9, 2024 6.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT KINCHO Stadium
  • Shunta Tanaka 30' yellowcard
  • Shunta Tanaka 30' yellowcard
  • Lucas Fernandes 39' yellowcard
  • Lucas Fernandes 39' yellowcard
  • Hiroaki Okuno 76' yellowcard
  • Hiroaki Okuno 76' yellowcard
  • Shunta Tanaka 81' goal
  • Shunta Tanaka 81' goal
  • yellowcard Hiroyuki Mae 19'
  • yellowcard Hiroyuki Mae 19'
J1 League Gameweek 15
May 18, 2024 8.00am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)
  • Douglas Grolli 7' yellowcard
  • Kazuya Konno 21' yellowcard
  • Shahab Zahedi 31' yellowcard
  • Tatsuki Nara 39' yellowcard
  • Shahab Zahedi 61' redcard
  • Takeshi Kanamori 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Leo Ceara 9'
  • goal Shunta Tanaka 29'
  • yellowcard Hirotaka Tameda 84'
  • goal Hirotaka Tameda 90'+7'
J1 League Gameweek 19
Jun 30, 2023 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • goal Lukian 22'
J1 League Gameweek 2
Feb 25, 2023 6.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Level-5 stadium
  • Hiroyuki Mae 47' goal
  • Takeshi Kanamori 88' goal
  • goal Satoki Uejo 59'