Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.05% and a win for Giravanz Kitakyushu had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.65%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%) , while for a Giravanz Kitakyushu win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.