Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Renofa Yamaguchi win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Giravanz Kitakyushu had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Renofa Yamaguchi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Giravanz Kitakyushu win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.