J1 League Gameweek 8
Sep 19, 2026 10.00am
Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 10.30am
Shimizu S-Pulse 1 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Shu Morooka

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 11.00am
Hiroshima 6 - 1 Cerezo
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Akito Suzuki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka has a probability of 28.43% and a draw has a probability of 27.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win is 1-0 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.34%).

Result

Avispa Fukuoka 28.43% (-1.68)
Draw 27.29% (-0.45)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44.28% (+2.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.97% (-1.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.18% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 28.82% (+0.79)
Over 2.5 46.22% (-0.96)
Under 2.5 53.78% (+0.96)
Over 3.5 25.42% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 74.58% (+0.43)
Over 4.5 13.81% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 86.19% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Avispa Fukuoka 23.75% (+0.02)
Draw 41.45% (+0.20)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 34.8% (-0.22)

Team To Score First

Avispa Fukuoka 42.65% (+1.90)
No Goal 8.7% (+0.22)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 48.65% (-2.13)

Corners

Over 8 52.14% (+6.39)
Equal 8 12.5% (+0.69)
Under 8 35.36% (-7.07)
Over 9 39.95% (+5.17)
Equal 9 12.19% (+1.23)
Under 9 47.86% (-6.39)
Over 10.5 29.1% (+3.68)
Under 10.5 70.9% (-3.68)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 1.5 28.33% (-2.00)
Under 1.5 71.67% (+1.99)
Over 2.5 9.88% (-0.87)
Under 2.5 90.12% (+0.88)
Over 3.5 2.7% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 97.3% (+0.36)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 73.93% (+0.74)
Under 0.5 26.07% (-0.74)
Over 1.5 40.82% (+0.90)
Under 1.5 59.18% (-0.90)
Over 2.5 17.23% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 82.77% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 6.28% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 93.72% (-0.49)

Score analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 28.43%
Draw 27.29%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44.27%
Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.22)
2-1 @ 6.67% (-0.50)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.23)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.21)
Other @ 2.45% (-0.32)
Total : 28.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 8.7% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.29)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.25% (-0.04)
Total : 27.29%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-1 @ 11.6% (+0.77)
1-2 @ 8.73% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.98% (+0.62)
1-3 @ 4.13% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 3.64% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.11)
Other @ 6.03% (+0.54)
Total : 44.27%

Head to Head

J1 League
Sep 27, 2025 10.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 14
May 3, 2025 5.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • Hayao Kawabe 24' yellowcard
  • Hayao Kawabe 24' yellowcard
  • Mutsuki Kato 67' goal
  • Mutsuki Kato 67' goal
  • Daiki Suga 82' yellowcard
  • Daiki Suga 82' yellowcard
  • Ryo Germain 90'+8' goal
  • Ryo Germain 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Wellington 47'
  • yellowcard Wellington 47'
  • goal Tomoya Miki 86'
  • goal Tomoya Miki 86'
J1 League Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 10.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • Yuki Ohashi 60' goal
  • Shunki Higashi 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daiki Matsuoka 36'
  • yellowcard Daiki Miya 90'+2'
J1 League Gameweek 8
Apr 13, 2024 6.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Level-5 stadium
  • Shahab Zahedi 22' goal
  • Shahab Zahedi 22' goal
  • Yuto Iwasaki 30' yellowcard
  • Yuto Iwasaki 30' yellowcard
  • Masaya Tashiro 55' yellowcard
  • Masaya Tashiro 55' yellowcard
  • Shahab Zahedi 61' yellowcard
  • Shahab Zahedi 61' yellowcard
  • Douglas Grolli 64' yellowcard
  • Douglas Grolli 64' yellowcard
  • Yota Maejima 74' yellowcard
  • Yota Maejima 74' yellowcard
  • Wellington 84' yellowcard
  • Wellington 84' yellowcard
  • goal Sho Sasaki 25'
  • goal Sho Sasaki 25'
  • yellowcard Sho Sasaki 58'
  • yellowcard Sho Sasaki 58'
  • yellowcard Takumu Kawamura 67'
  • yellowcard Takumu Kawamura 67'
J1 League Gameweek 34
Dec 3, 2023 5.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Level-5 stadium
  • Daiki Miya 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shuto Nakano 28'
  • goal Hayato Araki 90'+6'
J1 League Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 5.00am
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT EDION Stadium
  • Pieros Soteriou 50' goal
  • Yuya Yamagishi 72' goal
  • Takumu Kawamura 89' goal
  • goal Yuya Yamagishi 30'