J1 League Gameweek 7
Sep 12, 2026 11.00am
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 10.00am
Okayama 3 - 2 Hiroshima
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Akito Suzuki

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 11.00am
Cerezo 0 - 0 Tokyo Verdy
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Solomon Sakuragawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw has a probability of 21.95% and a win for Cerezo Osaka has a probability of 18.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.35%) and 2-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.12%) , while for a Cerezo Osaka win it is 0-1 (5.19%).

Result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.6% (-0.11)
Draw 21.95% (+0.01)
Cerezo Osaka 18.42% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.53% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.89%
Under 1.5 22.11%
Over 2.5 55.5% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.47% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 32.32% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.64% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 20.12% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.88% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43.26%
Draw 37.49% (+0.02)
Cerezo Osaka 19.26%

Team To Score First

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 63.88% (-0.08)
No Goal 5.79% (-0.02)
Cerezo Osaka 30.33% (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 61.56% (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.43% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.02% (+0.02)
Over 9 50.62% (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.93%
Under 9 38.44% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 40.04% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 59.96% (+0.03)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 1.5 56.02% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 43.98% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 29.46% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 70.54% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 12.72% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.28% (+0.02)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 54.02% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 45.98% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 22.53% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 77.47% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 7.13% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 92.87% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.87% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.13% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.6%
Draw 21.94%
Cerezo Osaka 18.41%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 11.08% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 10.35%
2-0 @ 9.99% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.6% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 12.47% (-0.02)
Total : 59.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.12% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25% (+0.02)
Total : 21.94%
Cerezo Osaka
0-1 @ 5.19% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.47%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.62% (+0.02)
Total : 18.41%

Head to Head

J1 League
Aug 31, 2025 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 9
Apr 6, 2025 7.00am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT EDION Stadium
  • Sho Sasaki 8' yellowcard
  • Sho Sasaki 8' yellowcard
  • Naoto Arai 18' goal
  • Naoto Arai 18' goal
  • Daiki Suga 57' yellowcard
  • Daiki Suga 57' yellowcard
  • Shuto Nakano 80' yellowcard
  • Shuto Nakano 80' yellowcard
  • Hayato Araki 86' goal
  • Hayato Araki 86' goal
  • goal Lucas Fernandes 15'
  • goal Lucas Fernandes 15'
  • yellowcard Rafael Ratao 22'
  • yellowcard Rafael Ratao 22'
J1 League Gameweek 26
Aug 11, 2024 10.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • 18' goal
  • Makoto Mitsuta 55' yellowcard
  • Yotaro Nakajima 76' yellowcard
  • Tolgay Arslan 78' goal
  • Tolgay Arslan 85' goal
  • yellowcard Leo Ceara 90'+2'
J1 League Gameweek 16
May 26, 2024 7.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • Ryuya Nishio 66' goal
  • Ryuya Nishio 66' goal
  • Shunta Tanaka 88' yellowcard
  • Shunta Tanaka 88' yellowcard
  • goal Hayato Araki 53'
  • goal Hayato Araki 53'
  • yellowcard Hayato Araki 78'
  • yellowcard Hayato Araki 78'
  • yellowcard Yuki Ohashi 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Yuki Ohashi 90'+6'
J1 League Gameweek 30
Oct 21, 2023 8.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • yellowcard Matej Jonjic 50'
  • yellowcard Seiya Maikuma 71'
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 29, 2023 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • goal Douglas Vieira 90'+3'