J1 League
Aug 22, 2026 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT KINCHO Stadium
  • Solomon Sakuragawa 48' yellowcard
  • S. Hatanaka 51' yellowcard
  • Thiago Andrade 62' goal
  • yellowcard Se-hun Oh 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Mateus Brunetti 63'

Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 11.00am
Avispa Fukuoka 3 - 0 Cerezo
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Solomon Sakuragawa

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 10.30am
Shimizu S-Pulse 0 - 1 Yokohama
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Koya Kitagawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 (8.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Cerezo Osaka 41.24% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 26.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Shimizu S-Pulse 32.42% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.08% ▼ (-0.38)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.21% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 25.79% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 2.5 49.58% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 50.42% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 27.86% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 3.5 72.14% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 4.5 15.36% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 84.64% ▲ (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Cerezo Osaka 33.67% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 41.17% ▼ (-0.29)
Shimizu S-Pulse 25.16% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Cerezo Osaka 51.7% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 7.52% ▲ (+0.12)
Shimizu S-Pulse 40.78% ▼ (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 66.44% ▲ (+0.49)
Equal 8 10.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 22.94% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 9 54.82% ▲ (+0.47)
Equal 9 11.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 33.56% ▼ (-0.48)
Over 10.5 43.21% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 10.5 56.79% ▼ (-0.42)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 1.5 40.03% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 59.97% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 16.23% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 83.77% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 5.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 94.54% ▲ (+0.08)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5 67.06% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 32.94% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 33.16% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 66.84% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 12.59% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 87.41% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.22% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cerezo Osaka 41.24%
Draw 26.35%
Shimizu S-Pulse 32.43%
Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.99% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 41.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.35%
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-1 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 32.43%

Head to Head

J1 League
Nov 9, 2025 6.00am
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 19
Jun 1, 2025 7.00am
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT KINCHO Stadium
  • Niko Takahashi Cendagorta 12' goal
  • Motohiko Nakajima 18' goal
  • Rafael Ratao 54' goal
  • Lucas Fernandes 70' goal
  • Rafael Ratao 77' yellowcard
  • goal Leon Yamahara 4'
  • yellowcard Yuji Takahashi 64'
  • goal Riku Gunji 89'
J1 League Gameweek 18
Jun 26, 2022 10.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kakeru Funaki 76' goal
  • yellowcard Thiago 19'
  • goal Matej Jonjic 35' (OG)
J1 League Gameweek 4
Mar 12, 2022 5.00am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT IAI Stadium Nihondaira
  • Daigo Takahashi 54' goal
  • Eiichi Katayama 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hiroto Yamada 24'
  • goal Akira Ibayashi 45' (OG)
  • goal Hiroaki Okuno 57'
  • goal Satoki Uejo 83'
J1 League Gameweek 38
Dec 4, 2021 5.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Daiki Matsuoka 14' yellowcard
  • Yoshinori Suzuki 45'+2' goal
  • Kenta Nishizawa 51' goal
  • goal Ryo Takeuchi 35' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ayumu Seko 55'
  • yellowcard Riku Matsuda 65'
J1 League Gameweek 3
Mar 10, 2021 10.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ryuya Nishio 22' goal
  • Hiroshi Kiyotake 84' goal
  • goal Katsuhiro Nakayama 5'