J1 League Gameweek 6
Sep 6, 2026 10.00am
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT City Light Stadium
  • Kota Kawano 10' goal
  • Oberdan 16' yellowcard
  • Kota Kawano 21' goal
  • Kota Kawano 50' goal
  • Oberdan 61' redcard
  • Eiji Miyamoto 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Sébastien Haller 45'+2'
  • goal Hayao Kawabe 64'

Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
JEF United 1 - 2 Okayama
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Kota Kawano

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
Hiroshima 3 - 0 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Akito Suzuki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 1-0 (10.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

Fagiano Okayama 34.55% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 28.69%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 36.76% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

48% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.97%
Under 1.5 31.03%
Over 2.5 43.64%
Under 2.5 56.36%
Over 3.5 22.39%
Under 3.5 77.61%
Over 4.5 11.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.52% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Fagiano Okayama 25.7%
Draw 44.44%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 29.86%

Team To Score First

Fagiano Okayama 48.04% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 9.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 42.29%

Corners

Over 8 53.83%
Equal 8 11.66%
Under 8 34.5%
Over 9 42.31%
Equal 9 11.52%
Under 9 46.17%
Over 10.5 31.84%
Under 10.5 68.16%

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 1.5 31.98% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 68.02% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 11.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 88.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.7% ▼ (-0.01)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 68.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 33.82% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 66.18% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 12.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 87.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.02% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Fagiano Okayama 34.55%
Draw 28.69%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 36.77%
Fagiano Okayama
1-0 @ 10.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 34.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 28.69%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-1 @ 10.98% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 36.77%

Head to Head

J1 League
Jul 5, 2025 10.55am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sota Nakamura 90'+7' goal
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 12, 2025 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • Hayao Kawabe 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Hayao Kawabe 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Ryunosuke Sato 58'
  • goal Ryunosuke Sato 58'