J1 League Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Fukuda Denshi Arena
  • Kazuki Tanaka 41' goal
  • Takumi Tsukui 45' yellowcard
  • Koki Yonekura 77' yellowcard
  • goal Léo Gaúcho 31'
  • yellowcard Eiji Miyamoto 90'+3'
  • goal Yuta Kamiya 90'+4'

JEF United vs Fagiano Okayama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

JEF United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 11.00am
Kawasaki 4 - 2 JEF United
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Kazuki Tanaka

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 11.00am
Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Okayama
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Noah Kenshin Browne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a JEF United win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Fagiano Okayama has a probability of 33.71% and a draw has a probability of 26.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a JEF United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win is 0-1 (8.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.41%).

Result

JEF United 40.28% (-0.08)
Draw 26.02%
Fagiano Okayama 33.71% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.5% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.04% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 25.96% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 49.31% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 50.69% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 27.21% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 72.79% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 14.79% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.21% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

JEF United 27.14%
Draw 43.89%
Fagiano Okayama 28.96%

Team To Score First

JEF United 46.89% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.28% (-0.02)
Fagiano Okayama 45.83% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.1%
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 29.96%
Over 9 47.83%
Equal 9 11.26%
Under 9 40.9%
Over 10.5 37.16%
Under 10.5 62.84%

JEF United Goals

Over 1.5 38.88% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.12% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 16% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.34%
Under 3.5 94.66%

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 0.5 67.62% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 32.38% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 33.84% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 66.16% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 12.36% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.64% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.83% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.17% (-0.02)

Score analysis

JEF United 40.29%
Draw 26.01%
Fagiano Okayama 33.71%
JEF United
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.61% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.3%
Total : 40.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 26.01%
Fagiano Okayama
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.85% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.79% (+0.03)
Total : 33.71%