J1 League Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Fukuda Denshi Arena
  • Kazuki Tanaka 41' goal
  • Takumi Tsukui 45' yellowcard
  • Koki Yonekura 77' yellowcard
  • goal Léo Gaúcho 31'
  • yellowcard Eiji Miyamoto 90'+3'
  • goal Yuta Kamiya 90'+4'

JEF United vs Fagiano Okayama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

JEF United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 11.00am
Kawasaki 4 - 2 JEF United
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Kazuki Tanaka

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 11.00am
Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Okayama
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Kota Kawano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a JEF United win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a JEF United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 0-1 (8.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

JEF United 40.54% ▲ (+0.26)
Draw 26.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Fagiano Okayama 33.45% ▼ (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.29% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.88% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 26.12% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 49.1% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 50.9% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 26.95% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 73.05% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 4.5 14.6% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 4.5 85.4% ▲ (+0.20)

First Half Winner

JEF United 27.41% ▲ (+0.27)
Draw 43.77% ▼ (-0.12)
Fagiano Okayama 28.82% ▼ (-0.15)

Team To Score First

JEF United 46.84% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 7.33% ▲ (+0.05)
Fagiano Okayama 45.83%

Corners

Over 8 58.86% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 8 10.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 30.18% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 9 47.6% ▼ (-0.23)
Equal 9 11.26%
Under 9 41.14% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 10.5 36.94% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 10.5 63.06% ▲ (+0.22)

JEF United Goals

Over 1.5 38.94% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 61.06% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 16.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.34%
Under 3.5 94.66%

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 0.5 67.34% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 0.5 32.66% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 1.5 33.5% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 1.5 66.5% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 2.5 12.13% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 87.87% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 3.74% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 96.26% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

JEF United 40.53%
Draw 26.02%
Fagiano Okayama 33.45%
JEF United
1-0 @ 9.98% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.3%
Total : 40.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 26.02%
Fagiano Okayama
0-1 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 33.45%