J1 League Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2026 8.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Machida Athletic Stadium
  • Tete Yengi 22' goal
  • Daihachi Okamura 54' yellowcard
  • Gen Shoji 60' yellowcard
  • Hiroyuki Mae 73' goal
  • Henry Heroki Mochizuki 76' goal

Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 11.00am
Kyoto Sanga 0 - 1 Machida Zelvia
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Yuki Soma

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 7.00am
Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 1 Okayama
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Shu Morooka

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 50.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.71% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 24.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%) , while for a Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Machida Zelvia 50.01% ▲ (+0.77)
Draw 25.71% ▼ (-0.24)
Avispa Fukuoka 24.28% ▼ (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.22% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.22% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 1.5 27.78% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 2.5 47.32% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 2.5 52.68% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 25.17% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 3.5 74.83% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 4.5 13.69% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 4.5 86.31% ▼ (-0.26)

First Half Winner

Machida Zelvia 32.67%
Draw 46.94%
Avispa Fukuoka 20.38%

Team To Score First

Machida Zelvia 55.2% ▲ (+0.09)
No Goal 7.67% ▼ (-0.14)
Avispa Fukuoka 37.13% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 53.19%
Equal 8 11.44%
Under 8 35.36%
Over 9 41.94%
Equal 9 11.25%
Under 9 46.81%
Over 10.5 31.74%
Under 10.5 68.26%

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 1.5 44.96% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 1.5 55.04% ▼ (-0.78)
Over 2.5 19.79% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 2.5 80.21% ▼ (-0.59)
Over 3.5 6.95% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 3.5 93.05% ▼ (-0.29)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5 59.29% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 0.5 40.71% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 1.5 24.79% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 75.21% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 7.75% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 92.25% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 1.91% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.09% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Machida Zelvia 50.02%
Draw 25.71%
Avispa Fukuoka 24.27%
Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 12.39%
2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.29)
Total : 50.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 25.71%
Avispa Fukuoka
0-1 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.21)
1-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 24.27%

Head to Head

J1 League
Oct 18, 2025 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 7
Mar 29, 2025 6.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)
  • Tomoya Ando 22' goal
  • Tomoya Ando 22' goal
  • Tomoya Miki 42' yellowcard
  • Tomoya Miki 42' yellowcard
  • Kosei Tani 65' goal
  • Kosei Tani 65' goal
  • goal Daihachi Okamura 9'
  • goal Daihachi Okamura 9'
  • yellowcard Daihachi Okamura 25'
  • yellowcard Daihachi Okamura 25'
  • goal Keiya Sento 84'
  • goal Keiya Sento 84'
J1 League Gameweek 30
Sep 14, 2024 10.00am
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)
  • goal Kazuki Fujimoto 51'
  • goal Masaya Tashiro 56' (OG)
  • goal Sangho Na 68'
J1 League Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 7.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
  • yellowcard Itsuki Oda 51'
  • yellowcard Itsuki Oda 51'