J1 League Gameweek 9
Oct 10, 2026 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)
  • Everton Maceió 70' yellowcard
  • Ranko Popović 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tete Yengi 26'
  • goal Takahiro Akimoto 86'

Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 11.00am
Okayama 1 - 2 Kyoto Sanga
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Rafael Elias

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 9.00am
Machida Zelvia 2 - 4 Reysol
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Yuki Soma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 46%. A win for Kyoto Sanga has a probability of 27.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win is 1-0 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.71%).

Result

Kyoto Sanga 27.5% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 26.43% ▼ (-0.06)
Machida Zelvia 46% ▼ (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.17% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.43% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 25.57% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 49.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 50.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 72.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.86% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Kyoto Sanga 23.17% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 43.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Machida Zelvia 33.38% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Kyoto Sanga 41.26% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 7.15%
Machida Zelvia 51.59% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 61.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 27.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 50.08%
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 38.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 39.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 60.91% ▲ (+0.01)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 1.5 28.36% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 71.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 9.73% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.45% ▼ (-0.02)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 76.43% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 23.57% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 44.17% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 55.83% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 19.44% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.56% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.41% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Kyoto Sanga 27.5%
Draw 26.43%
Machida Zelvia 46.01%
Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 27.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 26.43%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 10.38% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.01% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.87%
0-3 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 46.01%

Head to Head

J1 League
Sep 23, 2025 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 15
May 7, 2025 11.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Machida Athletic Stadium
  • Henry Heroki Mochizuki 39' goal
  • Gen Shoji 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shinnosuke Fukuda 32'
  • yellowcard Shun Nagasawa 65'
  • goal Sora Hiraga 72'
  • goal Shinnosuke Fukuda 90'+5'
J1 League Gameweek 37
Nov 30, 2024 5.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Machida Athletic Stadium
  • Yuki Soma 54' yellowcard
  • Yuki Soma 54' yellowcard
  • Gakuji Ota 67' goal
  • Gakuji Ota 67' goal
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Ryuma Nakano 88'
  • yellowcard Ryuma Nakano 88'
J1 League Gameweek 12
May 6, 2024 6.00am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium
  • Kazunari Ichimi 31' yellowcard
  • Kazunari Ichimi 31' yellowcard
  • Yuto Misao 50' yellowcard
  • Yuto Misao 50' yellowcard
  • Taiki Hirato 56' yellowcard
  • Taiki Hirato 56' yellowcard
  • goal Se-Hun Oh 22'
  • goal Se-Hun Oh 22'
  • yellowcard Kotaro Hayashi 37'
  • yellowcard Kotaro Hayashi 37'
  • goal Sangho Na 64'
  • goal Sangho Na 64'
  • goal Mitchell Duke 75'
  • goal Mitchell Duke 75'
  • yellowcard Kai Shibato 79'
  • yellowcard Kai Shibato 79'