J1 League Gameweek 8
Sep 20, 2026 9.00am
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT Machida Athletic Stadium
  • Yuki Soma 38' goal
  • Hokuto Shimoda 62' redcard
  • Koki Ogawa   90'+2' goal
  • goal Yusuke Segawa 53'
  • goal Keita Endo 58'
  • goal Yoshio Koizumi 65'
  • yellowcard Koki Kumasaka 76'
  • yellowcard Seiya Baba 85'
  • goal Yusuke Segawa 88'
  • yellowcard Riki Harakawa 90'+1'

Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 11.00am
Machida Zelvia 1 - 1 Yokohama
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Yuki Soma

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 11.00am
Kyoto Sanga 2 - 3 Reysol
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Yusuke Segawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (8.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%).

Result

Machida Zelvia 38.33% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 26.21%
Kashiwa Reysol 35.43% ▲ (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.25% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 24.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50.77%
Under 2.5 49.23%
Over 3.5 28.28%
Under 3.5 71.72%
Over 4.5 15.51%
Under 4.5 84.49%

First Half Winner

Machida Zelvia 24.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 44.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Kashiwa Reysol 30.79% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Machida Zelvia 43.34% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.8%
Kashiwa Reysol 49.86% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 51.1%
Equal 8 12.38%
Under 8 36.52%
Over 9 39.13%
Equal 9 11.97%
Under 9 48.9%
Over 10.5 28.54%
Under 10.5 71.46%

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 1.5 38.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 61.66% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 15.54% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 84.46% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.77% ▲ (+0.04)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5 69.6% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 30.4% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 35.93% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 64.07% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 14.33% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 85.67% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.44% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.56% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Machida Zelvia 38.34%
Draw 26.21%
Kashiwa Reysol 35.43%
Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31%
Other @ 5% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 38.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 26.21%
Kashiwa Reysol
0-1 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 35.43%

Head to Head

J1 League
Dec 6, 2025 5.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daihachi Okamura 63' goal
  • 77' yellowcard
  • Hayato Nakama 77' yellowcard
J1 League Gameweek 17
May 17, 2025 6.00am
3
0
HT : 6 0
FT Machida Athletic Stadium
  • Kotaro Hayashi 4' goal
  • Kotaro Hayashi 4' goal
  • Taiyo Koga 15' goal
  • Taiyo Koga 15' goal
  • Kotaro Hayashi 35' yellowcard
  • Kotaro Hayashi 35' yellowcard
  • Sangho Na 45'+2' goal
  • Sangho Na 45'+2' goal
J1 League Gameweek 34
Oct 19, 2024 6.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
  • Mao Hosoya 63' goal
  • Mao Hosoya 63' goal
  • yellowcard Gen Shoji 77'
  • yellowcard Gen Shoji 77'
  • yellowcard Yuki Nakashima 86'
  • yellowcard Yuki Nakashima 86'
  • goal Hokuto Shimoda 90'+5'
  • goal Hokuto Shimoda 90'+5'
J1 League Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 7.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
  • Se-Hun Oh 9' goal
  • Se-Hun Oh 9' goal
  • Shunta Araki 68' goal
  • Shunta Araki 68' goal
  • yellowcard Yuto Yamada 42'
  • yellowcard Yuto Yamada 42'
  • yellowcard Jay-Roy Grot 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jay-Roy Grot 90'+5'