J1 League Gameweek 8
Okayama
Sep 19, 2026 11.00am
City Light Stadium
Kyoto Sanga

Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 10.30am
Urawa 1 - 2 Okayama
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Kota Kawano

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 11.00am
Kyoto Sanga 2 - 3 Reysol
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Rafael Elias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fagiano Okayama win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Kyoto Sanga has a probability of 30.23% and a draw has a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fagiano Okayama win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win is 0-1 (9.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.76%).

Result

Fagiano Okayama 43.11%
Draw 26.66%
Kyoto Sanga 30.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.34%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.41%
Under 1.5 30.59%
Over 2.5 43.68%
Under 2.5 56.32%
Over 3.5 22.45%
Under 3.5 77.55%
Over 4.5 11.72%
Under 4.5 88.28%

First Half Winner

Fagiano Okayama 32.09%
Draw 48.28%
Kyoto Sanga 19.64%

Team To Score First

Fagiano Okayama 57.03%
No Goal 8.79%
Kyoto Sanga 34.18%

Corners

Over 8 51.67%
Equal 8 11.74%
Under 8 36.6%
Over 9 40.26%
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 48.33%
Over 10.5 30.07%
Under 10.5 69.93%

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 1.5 37.53%
Under 1.5 62.47%
Over 2.5 14.53%
Under 2.5 85.47%
Over 3.5 4.43%
Under 3.5 95.57%

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5 63.15%
Under 0.5 36.85%
Over 1.5 28.24%
Under 1.5 71.76%
Over 2.5 9.4%
Under 2.5 90.6%
Over 3.5 2.7%
Under 3.5 97.3%

Score analysis

Fagiano Okayama 43.12%
Draw 26.67%
Kyoto Sanga 30.23%
Fagiano Okayama
1-0 @ 12.35%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 7.87%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.36%
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 43.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.79%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.67%
Kyoto Sanga
0-1 @ 9.47%
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-2 @ 5.09%
1-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.23%

Head to Head

J1 League
Kyoto Sanga
Aug 30, 2025 11.00am
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Okayama
J1 League Gameweek 1
Okayama
Feb 15, 2025 5.00am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT City Light Stadium
Kyoto Sanga
  • Daichi Tagami 23' goal
  • Daichi Tagami 23' goal
  • Takaya Kimura 36' goal
  • Takaya Kimura 36' goal
  • Lucas Marcos Meireles 48' yellowcard
  • Lucas Marcos Meireles 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 64'
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 64'
  • yellowcard Patrick 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Patrick 90'+2'

Form Data

Urawa 1 - 2 Okayama
Okayama 3 - 2 Hiroshima
JEF United 1 - 2 Okayama
Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Okayama
Okayama 0 - 0 Tokyo Verdy
Okayama 1 - 0 V-Varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga 2 - 3 Reysol
FC Tokyo 2 - 0 Kyoto Sanga
Yokohama 1 - 1 Kyoto Sanga
Kyoto Sanga 2 - 1 Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga 1 - 3 Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki 2 - 2 Kyoto Sanga