J1 League Gameweek 8
Sep 19, 2026 11.00am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT City Light Stadium
  • Yugo Tatsuta 18' yellowcard
  • Sang-ho Na 45'+1' goal
  • Lucão 57' redcard
  • Yoshitake Suzuki 76' yellowcard
  • goal João Pedro 10'
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 50'
  • yellowcard Kyo Sato 90'+1'
  • goal Alex Souza 90'+2'

Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 10.30am
Urawa 1 - 2 Okayama
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Kota Kawano

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 11.00am
Kyoto Sanga 2 - 3 Reysol
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Rafael Elias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fagiano Okayama win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.94% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fagiano Okayama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%) , while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Fagiano Okayama 50.1%
Draw 25.94%
Kyoto Sanga 23.96% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.72%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 29.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 45.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 54.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 23.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 76.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 12.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.25% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Fagiano Okayama 36.5%
Draw 44.99%
Kyoto Sanga 18.51%

Team To Score First

Fagiano Okayama 60.06% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 8.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Kyoto Sanga 31.52% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.77%
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 25.76%
Over 9 50.56%
Equal 9 12.21%
Under 9 37.23%
Over 10.5 38.74%
Under 10.5 61.26%

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 1.5 43.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.46% ▲ (+0.01)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5 58.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 41.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 23.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 76.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 6.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 93.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.67%
Under 3.5 98.33%

Score analysis

Fagiano Okayama 50.1%
Draw 25.94%
Kyoto Sanga 23.96%
Fagiano Okayama
1-0 @ 13.12% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.58%
3-1 @ 4.54%
3-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 50.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 25.94%
Kyoto Sanga
0-1 @ 8% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 23.96%

Head to Head

J1 League
Aug 30, 2025 11.00am
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 1
Feb 15, 2025 5.00am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT City Light Stadium
  • Daichi Tagami 23' goal
  • Daichi Tagami 23' goal
  • Takaya Kimura 36' goal
  • Takaya Kimura 36' goal
  • Lucas Marcos Meireles 48' yellowcard
  • Lucas Marcos Meireles 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 64'
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 64'
  • yellowcard Patrick 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Patrick 90'+2'