J1 League Gameweek 12
Oct 25, 2026 6.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Saitama Stadium 2002
  • Matheus Savio 71' goal
  • yellowcard Matheus Jesus 90'+1'

Urawa Red Diamonds vs V-Varen Nagasaki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 11.30am
Urawa 3 - 2 JEF United
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Matheus Savio

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
V-Varen Nagasaki 4 - 0 Hiroshima
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Kenshin Yasuda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw has a probability of 23.95% and a win for V-Varen Nagasaki has a probability of 20.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.16%) and 2-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.38%) , while for a V-Varen Nagasaki win it is 0-1 (6.29%).

Result

Urawa Red Diamonds 55.51% ▲ (+0.33)
Draw 23.95% ▼ (-0.11)
V-Varen Nagasaki 20.58% ▼ (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.17% ▼ (-0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.1% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 24.9% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 50.73%
Under 2.5 49.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 28% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 72% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 16.28% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 83.72% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Urawa Red Diamonds 39.14% ▲ (+1.89)
Draw 42.68% ▼ (-0.25)
V-Varen Nagasaki 18.18% ▼ (-1.65)

Team To Score First

Urawa Red Diamonds 60.06% ▲ (+2.82)
No Goal 6.89% ▼ (-0.09)
V-Varen Nagasaki 33.05% ▼ (-2.74)

Corners

Over 8 62.08% ▲ (+2.51)
Equal 8 11.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 26.63% ▼ (-2.50)
Over 9 50.16% ▲ (+2.28)
Equal 9 11.92% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 9 37.92% ▼ (-2.51)
Over 10.5 38.66% ▲ (+1.86)
Under 10.5 61.34% ▼ (-1.86)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 1.5 50.89% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 49.11% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 24.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 90.29% ▼ (-0.04)

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 0.5 55.81% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 44.19% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 22.54% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 77.46% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 2.5 6.86% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 93.14% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 1.72% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.28% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds 55.51%
Draw 23.94%
V-Varen Nagasaki 20.58%
Urawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 11.75% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 10.16% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 10.09% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 9.61% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 55.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 23.94%
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.58%