J1 League Gameweek 9
Oct 11, 2026 6.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Fukuda Denshi Arena
  • Thiago Santana 5' goal
  • Erison 53' yellowcard
  • Eduardo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Santana 13'
  • goal Kenshin Yasuda 90'+5'

JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

JEF United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 10.30am
Shimizu S-Pulse 2 - 1 JEF United
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Kazuki Tanaka

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 10.30am
V-Varen Nagasaki 1 - 1 Cerezo
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Matheus Jesus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a JEF United win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for V-Varen Nagasaki has a probability of 27.27% and a draw has a probability of 25.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a JEF United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest V-Varen Nagasaki win is 0-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.08%).

Result

JEF United 47.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 25.64% ▼ (-0.04)
V-Varen Nagasaki 27.27% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.52% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.62% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 25.38% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 50.33% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 49.67% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 28.39% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 71.61% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 15.92% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 84.08% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

JEF United 31.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 46.85% ▼ (-0.08)
V-Varen Nagasaki 21.47% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

JEF United 54.06% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.97% ▼ (-0.05)
V-Varen Nagasaki 38.97% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.9%
Under 8 26.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 9 49.35% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 12.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 38% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 10.5 37.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 62.8% ▲ (+0.04)

JEF United Goals

Over 1.5 44.89% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 55.11% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 20.14% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 79.86% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 7.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.66% ▼ (-0.04)

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 0.5 63.04% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 36.96% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 29.07% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 70.93% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 9.72% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 90.28% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.17% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

JEF United 47.1%
Draw 25.65%
V-Varen Nagasaki 27.26%
JEF United
1-0 @ 10.72% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 47.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.97% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.65%
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-1 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 27.26%