J1 League
Gameweek
8
-
Riku Yamada
17'
-
Matheus Jesus
34'
-
Shunya Yoneda
50'
-
Jackson Irvine
41'
-
Lucas Fernandes
51'
-
Kosuke Nakamura
68'
-
T. Nakamura
68'
-
Dion Cools
84'
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a V-Varen Nagasaki win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a V-Varen Nagasaki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result
V-Varen Nagasaki
40.28%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
25.58%
▼
(-0.04)
Cerezo Osaka
34.11%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
57.04%
▲
(+0.14)
Goals
Over 1.5
75.87%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
24.13%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
52.43%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
47.57%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
30.41%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 3.5
69.59%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 4.5
16.96%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
83.04%
▼
(-0.09)
First Half Winner
V-Varen Nagasaki
31.04%
Draw
41.51%
Cerezo Osaka
27.45%
Team To Score First
V-Varen Nagasaki
48.72%
▲
(+0.02)
No Goal
6.46%
▼
(-0.05)
Cerezo Osaka
44.82%
▲
(+0.04)
Corners
Over 8
67.49%
Equal 8
10.68%
Under 8
21.83%
Over 9
55.65%
Equal 9
11.84%
Under 9
32.51%
Over 10.5
43.74%
Under 10.5
56.26%
V-Varen Nagasaki Goals
Over 1.5
40.88%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
59.12%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 2.5
17.19%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
82.81%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
6.14%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
93.86%
▼
(-0.02)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5
68.8%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
31.2%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
35.89%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
64.11%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 2.5
14.01%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
85.99%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
4.5%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
95.5%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
V-Varen Nagasaki
40.29%
Draw
25.58%
Cerezo Osaka
34.1%
V-Varen Nagasaki
1-0
@
9.3%
▼
(-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 40.29%
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 40.29%
Draw
1-1
@
11.8%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 25.58%
0-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 25.58%
Cerezo Osaka
0-1
@
8.34%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.99% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 34.1%
1-2 @ 7.99% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 34.1%