J1 League Gameweek 9
Oct 10, 2026 7.00am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Marcelo Ryan 21' yellowcard
  • Motoki Nagakura 63' goal
  • Soma Anzai 69' goal
  • Kein Sato 85' goal

FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 11.00am
FC Tokyo 1 - 0 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Motoki Nagakura

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 10.30am
Urawa 3 - 1 Tokyo Verdy
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Harumi Minamino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds has a probability of 26.53% and a draw has a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win is 1-2 (6.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.62%).

Result

FC Tokyo 50.08% ▲ (+1.59)
Draw 23.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Urawa Red Diamonds 26.53% ▼ (-1.62)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.32% ▼ (-0.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.89% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 1.5 19.11% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 2.5 59.33% ▼ (-0.78)
Under 2.5 40.67% ▲ (+0.78)
Over 3.5 36.01% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 3.5 63.99% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 4.5 21.62% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 4.5 78.38% ▲ (+0.26)

First Half Winner

FC Tokyo 39.47% ▲ (+0.40)
Draw 40.2% ▲ (+0.67)
Urawa Red Diamonds 20.33% ▼ (-1.06)

Team To Score First

FC Tokyo 60.16% ▲ (+2.39)
No Goal 4.9% ▲ (+0.15)
Urawa Red Diamonds 34.94% ▼ (-2.54)

Corners

Over 8 54.46% ▼ (-1.40)
Equal 8 11.51% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 8 34.04% ▲ (+1.61)
Over 9 43.04% ▼ (-1.04)
Equal 9 11.41% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 9 45.54% ▲ (+1.40)
Over 10.5 32.62% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 10.5 67.38% ▲ (+0.63)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 1.5 51.81% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 1.5 48.19% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 2.5 25.26% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 2.5 74.74% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 3.5 10.17% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 3.5 89.83% ▼ (-0.41)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5 64.61% ▼ (-1.58)
Under 0.5 35.39% ▲ (+1.58)
Over 1.5 32.55% ▼ (-1.61)
Under 1.5 67.45% ▲ (+1.61)
Over 2.5 12.37% ▼ (-1.17)
Under 2.5 87.63% ▲ (+1.16)
Over 3.5 3.9% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 3.5 96.1% ▲ (+0.42)

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 50.08%
Draw 23.42%
Urawa Red Diamonds 26.54%
FC Tokyo
2-1 @ 10.47% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.47)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.35)
3-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 10.01% ▲ (+0.43)
Total : 50.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.42%
Urawa Red Diamonds
1-2 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.34)
0-1 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.18)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.25)
0-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.40)
Total : 26.54%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 24
Jul 19, 2025 11.00am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 17
May 17, 2025 8.00am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT National Olympic Stadium
  • Hirokazu Ishihara 32' goal
  • Taishi Matsumoto 80' goal
  • Taishi Matsumoto 90'+3' goal
  • goal Marcelo Ryan 9'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Ryan 45'+3'
  • goal Keita Endo 68'
  • yellowcard Henrique Trevisan 78'
  • yellowcard Yuto Nagatomo 90'+11'
J1 League Gameweek 31
Sep 21, 2024 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Saitama Stadium 2002
  • Yoichi Naganuma 62' yellowcard
  • Ryoma Watanabe 82' yellowcard
  • Ayumu Ohata 84' yellowcard
  • goal Rikito Inoue 9' (OG)
  • goal Ryotaro Araki 17'
  • yellowcard Teppei Oka 32'
J1 League Gameweek 6
Apr 3, 2024 11.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Takahiro Ko 12' goal
  • Ryotaro Araki 50' goal
  • Kuryu Matsuki 58' goal
  • Kanta Doi 89' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago 24'
  • yellowcard Samuel Gustafson 85'
J1 League Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Saitama Stadium 2002
J1 League Gameweek 1
Feb 18, 2023 5.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Yoshio Koizumi 66' goal
  • Ryoma Watanabe 74' goal