J1 League Gameweek 8
Sep 19, 2026 11.00am
Grenada National Stadium

FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 11.00am
Gamba Osaka 0 - 2 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Motoki Nagakura

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 11.00am
V-Varen Nagasaki 2 - 0 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Yudai Kimura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw has a probability of 23.08% and a win for Nagoya Grampus has a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.35%) , while for a Nagoya Grampus win it is 1-2 (5.34%).

Result

FC Tokyo 58.35% (+5.24)
Draw 23.08% (-0.77)
Nagoya Grampus 18.57% (-4.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.25% (-3.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.94% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 21.06% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 57.12% (+1.42)
Under 2.5 42.88% (-1.42)
Over 3.5 32.82% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 67.18% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 19.89% (+0.38)
Under 4.5 80.11% (-0.38)

First Half Winner

FC Tokyo 41.3% (+3.02)
Draw 41.87% (-0.42)
Nagoya Grampus 16.83% (-2.63)

Team To Score First

FC Tokyo 63.19% (+1.86)
No Goal 5.97% (+0.03)
Nagoya Grampus 30.84% (-1.89)

Corners

Over 8 57.93% (+1.93)
Equal 8 11.68% (+0.40)
Under 8 30.39% (-2.32)
Over 9 46.03% (+1.36)
Equal 9 11.9% (+0.57)
Under 9 42.07% (-1.93)
Over 10.5 34.93% (+0.76)
Under 10.5 65.07% (-0.77)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 1.5 56.63% (+4.59)
Under 1.5 43.37% (-4.59)
Over 2.5 29.63% (+3.68)
Under 2.5 70.37% (-3.68)
Over 3.5 12.67% (+2.14)
Under 3.5 87.33% (-2.13)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 55.74% (-4.30)
Under 0.5 44.26% (+4.30)
Over 1.5 23.33% (-4.18)
Under 1.5 76.67% (+4.18)
Over 2.5 7.52% (-2.00)
Under 2.5 92.48% (+2.00)
Over 3.5 1.84% (-0.80)
Under 3.5 98.16% (+0.80)

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 58.36%
Draw 23.08%
Nagoya Grampus 18.57%
FC Tokyo
2-1 @ 10.97% (+0.88)
1-0 @ 10.11% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 9.2% (+0.73)
3-0 @ 6.71% (+1.50)
3-1 @ 6.1% (+0.40)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.31)
Other @ 12.28% (+1.93)
Total : 58.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.67)
0-0 @ 5.97% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.30)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.39% (+0.20)
Total : 23.08%
Nagoya Grampus
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.70)
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.75)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.88)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.41)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.64)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.11)
Other @ 1.45% (-1.01)
Total : 18.57%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 21, 2026 5.00am
Ajinomoto Stadium
J1 League
Aug 31, 2025 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 3
Feb 26, 2025 10.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Keita Yamashita 31' goal
  • Kein Sato 59' goal
  • Kei Koizumi 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Soma Anzai 90'+6' goal
  • goal Keiya Shiihashi 64'
  • yellowcard Kensuke Nagai 89'
J1 League Gameweek 30
Sep 14, 2024 11.00am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Grenada National Stadium
  • Keigo Higashi 13' goal
  • Diego Oliveira 31' goal
  • Henrique Trevisan 50' yellowcard
  • Takahiro Ko 65' goal
  • Teruhito Nakagawa 81' goal
  • Peter Cklamovski 84' yellowcard
  • Taishi Brandon Nozawa 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kasper Junker 7'
  • yellowcard Sho Inagaki 17'
  • yellowcard Takuya Uchida 29'
  • goal Sho Inagaki 85'
J1 League Gameweek 14
May 15, 2024 11.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • Takuya Uchida 14' yellowcard
  • Haruki Yoshida 17' yellowcard
  • Kensuke Nagai 28' yellowcard
  • Kasper Junker 33' goal
  • Kasper Junker 66' goal
  • Kasper Junker 71' goal
  • yellowcard Kashifu Bangunagande 23'
  • goal Ryotaro Araki 78'
  • yellowcard Yasuki Kimoto 81'
J1 League Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 11.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Diego Oliveira 18' goal
  • Diego Oliveira 80' goal