J1 League Gameweek 8
Sep 19, 2026 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Grenada National Stadium
  • Takahiro Ko 7' yellowcard
  • Kota Tawaratsumida 56' goal
  • Kein Sato 61' yellowcard
  • Takahiro Ko 68' redcard
  • Rikizo Matsuhashi 78' yellowcard
  • Kento Hashimoto 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Katsuhiro Nakayama 90'+5'

FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 11.00am
Gamba Osaka 0 - 2 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Motoki Nagakura

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 11.00am
V-Varen Nagasaki 2 - 0 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Yudai Kimura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.11% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.07%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%) , while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

FC Tokyo 58.22% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 23.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Nagoya Grampus 18.67% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.35% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.96% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.04% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 57.15% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 42.85% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.9%
Under 4.5 80.1%

First Half Winner

FC Tokyo 41.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 41.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Nagoya Grampus 16.84%

Team To Score First

FC Tokyo 63.2%
No Goal 5.96%
Nagoya Grampus 30.84%

Corners

Over 8 57.93%
Equal 8 11.68%
Under 8 30.39%
Over 9 46.03%
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 42.07%
Over 10.5 34.93%
Under 10.5 65.07%

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 1.5 56.55% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 43.45% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 29.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 70.42% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 12.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 87.36% ▲ (+0.04)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 55.87% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 44.13% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 23.43% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 76.57% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 7.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 58.22%
Draw 23.11%
Nagoya Grampus 18.66%
FC Tokyo
2-1 @ 10.96% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 10.07% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.1%
3-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 12.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 58.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.96%
2-2 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.11%
Nagoya Grampus
1-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 18.66%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 21, 2026 5.00am
Ajinomoto Stadium
J1 League
Aug 31, 2025 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 3
Feb 26, 2025 10.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Keita Yamashita 31' goal
  • Kein Sato 59' goal
  • Kei Koizumi 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Soma Anzai 90'+6' goal
  • goal Keiya Shiihashi 64'
  • yellowcard Kensuke Nagai 89'
J1 League Gameweek 30
Sep 14, 2024 11.00am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Grenada National Stadium
  • Keigo Higashi 13' goal
  • Diego Oliveira 31' goal
  • Henrique Trevisan 50' yellowcard
  • Takahiro Ko 65' goal
  • Teruhito Nakagawa 81' goal
  • Peter Cklamovski 84' yellowcard
  • Taishi Brandon Nozawa 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kasper Junker 7'
  • yellowcard Sho Inagaki 17'
  • yellowcard Takuya Uchida 29'
  • goal Sho Inagaki 85'
J1 League Gameweek 14
May 15, 2024 11.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • Takuya Uchida 14' yellowcard
  • Haruki Yoshida 17' yellowcard
  • Kensuke Nagai 28' yellowcard
  • Kasper Junker 33' goal
  • Kasper Junker 66' goal
  • Kasper Junker 71' goal
  • yellowcard Kashifu Bangunagande 23'
  • goal Ryotaro Araki 78'
  • yellowcard Yasuki Kimoto 81'
J1 League Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 11.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Diego Oliveira 18' goal
  • Diego Oliveira 80' goal