J1 League Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Iwagin Stadium
  • Kosuke Kinoshita 53' goal
  • goal Soma Anzai 50'

Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 10.30am
Shimizu S-Pulse 0 - 1 Reysol
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Koya Kitagawa

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 10.30am
V-Varen Nagasaki 0 - 3 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Motoki Nagakura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 45.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.84% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%) , while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 1-0 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Shimizu S-Pulse 26.78% ▼ (-0.21)
Draw 27.84% ▲ (+0.08)
FC Tokyo 45.35% ▲ (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.21% ▼ (-0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.43% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 31.57% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 42.22% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 2.5 57.78% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 21.82% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 3.5 78.18% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 4.5 11.5% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 88.5% ▲ (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Shimizu S-Pulse 18.55% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 46.93% ▲ (+0.03)
FC Tokyo 34.52% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Shimizu S-Pulse 35.22% ▼ (-0.10)
No Goal 9.92% ▲ (+0.10)
FC Tokyo 54.86% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 53.71% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.12%
Under 8 34.17% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 9 41.77% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 46.29% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 31% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 69% ▲ (+0.08)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 1.5 24.89% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 75.11% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 2.5 7.73% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 92.27% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 1.88% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 98.12% ▲ (+0.08)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5 73.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 26.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.26% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 60.74% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 15.8% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 84.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.53% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse 26.78%
Draw 27.84%
FC Tokyo 45.37%
Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 26.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.92% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.84%
FC Tokyo
0-1 @ 12.69% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 45.37%

Head to Head

J1 League
Oct 4, 2025 5.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 13
Apr 29, 2025 5.05am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Keigo Higashi 87' yellowcard
  • Keigo Higashi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Koya Kitagawa 45'+1'
  • goal Koya Kitagawa 45'+1'
  • goal Takashi Inui 79'
  • goal Takashi Inui 79'
J1 League Gameweek 24
Aug 7, 2022 10.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Keigo Higashi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlinhos 17'
  • goal Carlinhos 57'
  • goal Thiago 85'
J1 League Gameweek 15
May 25, 2022 11.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ryohei Shirasaki 68' yellowcard
  • goal Ryoya Ogawa 45'
  • goal Ryoya Ogawa 61'
  • goal Shuto Abe 75'
J1 League Gameweek 35
Nov 3, 2021 5.00am
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Adailton 7' goal
  • Ronaldo 12' goal
  • Diego Oliveira 24' goal
  • Masato Morishige 87' goal
  • yellowcard Eiichi Katayama 73'
J1 League Gameweek 16
May 26, 2021 11.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Thiago 14' goal
  • Valdo 45'+3' goal
  • Eiichi Katayama 49' goal
  • yellowcard Tsuyoshi Watanabe 55'