J1 League Gameweek 13
Nov 1, 2026 5.00am
transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 6.00am
Urawa 1 - 0 V-Varen Nagasaki
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Kenshin Yasuda

Tokyo Verdy

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 7.00am
Tokyo Verdy 3 - 1 Avispa Fukuoka
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Naoki Hayashi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a V-Varen Nagasaki win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Tokyo Verdy has a probability of 30.82% and a draw has a probability of 30.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a V-Varen Nagasaki win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win is 0-1 (10.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.55%).

Result

V-Varen Nagasaki 38.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 30.23% ▲ (+0.09)
Tokyo Verdy 30.82% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.18% ▲ (+0.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.46% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 34.54% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 2.5 39.22% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 60.78% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 3.5 19.59% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 80.41% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 4.5 9.69% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 4.5 90.31% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

V-Varen Nagasaki 26% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 47.31% ▼ (-0.59)
Tokyo Verdy 26.69% ▲ (+0.59)

Team To Score First

V-Varen Nagasaki 46.35% ▼ (-0.75)
No Goal 11.09% ▼ (-0.14)
Tokyo Verdy 42.56% ▲ (+0.89)

Corners

Over 8 59.46% ▼ (-0.48)
Equal 8 10.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 29.92% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 9 48.51% ▼ (-0.45)
Equal 9 10.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 40.54% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 10.5 38.07% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 10.5 61.93% ▲ (+0.36)

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 1.5 33.23% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 66.77% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 2.5 11.84% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 88.16% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 3.57% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 96.43% ▼ (-0.08)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5 62.54% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 37.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 27.37% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 72.63% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 8.89%
Under 2.5 91.11%
Over 3.5 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

V-Varen Nagasaki 38.92%
Draw 30.23%
Tokyo Verdy 30.81%
V-Varen Nagasaki
1-0 @ 12.72% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 7.34%
3-1 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 38.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.55%
0-0 @ 11.09% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 30.23%
Tokyo Verdy
0-1 @ 10.69% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 30.81%