Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny

Ivory Coast
4 - 0
Chad

Issouf Bayo (25'), Adingra (37'), Agbadou (77'), Diakite (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Thiam (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ivory Coast and Chad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Zambia 1-0 Ivory Coast
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Chad

Last Game: Chad 1-1 Sierra Leone
Wednesday, November 13 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 85.13%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Chad had a probability of 3.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.22%) and 1-0 (13.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.39%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Chad
85.13% ( 0.05)	11.48% ( 0.05)	3.39% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 27.41% (

-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.9% (

-0.88)

44.1% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.52% (

-0.87)

66.48% (

0.87)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.34% (

-0.18)

7.66% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.66% (

-0.46)

27.34% (

0.46)

Chad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

29.68% (

-1.06)

70.32% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

4.92% (

-0.38)

95.08% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 85.11%

Chad 3.39%

Draw 11.48%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Chad
2-0 @ 17.77% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 15.22% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 13.83% ( 0.4) 4-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.14) 6-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.56% Total : 85.11%	0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.2) 1-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 11.48%	0-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 3.39%