Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Nov 19, 2024 4.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 25' goal
  • Simon Adingra 37' goal
  • Emmanuel Agbadou 77' goal
  • Oumar Diakite 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Mahamat Thiam 90'+2'

Ivory Coast vs Chad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Nov 15, 2024 4.00pm
Zambia 1 - 0 Ivory Coast

Chad

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Nov 13, 2024 7.00pm
Chad 1 - 1 Sierra Leone

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 85.13%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Chad had a probability of 3.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.22%) and 1-0 (13.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.39%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result

Ivory Coast 85.13% (+0.06)
Draw 11.48% (+0.06)
Chad 3.39% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

27.41% (-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.9% (-0.89)
Under 2.5 44.1% (+0.89)
Over 3.5 33.52% (-0.87)
Under 3.5 66.48% (+0.87)
Over 4.5 17.17% (-0.64)
Under 4.5 82.83% (+0.64)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 92.34% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 7.66% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 72.66% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 27.34% (+0.46)

Chad Goals

Over 0.5 29.68% (-1.07)
Under 0.5 70.32% (+1.07)
Over 1.5 4.92% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 95.08% (+0.39)

Score analysis

Ivory Coast 85.11%
Draw 11.48%
Chad 3.39%
Ivory Coast
2-0 @ 17.77% (+0.36)
3-0 @ 15.22% (+0.17)
1-0 @ 13.83% (+0.41)
4-0 @ 9.78% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.26% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.17)
5-0 @ 5.03% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.44% (-0.15)
6-0 @ 2.15% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.09)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 85.11%
Draw
0-0 @ 5.39% (+0.21)
1-1 @ 4.87% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 1.1% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 11.48%
Chad
0-1 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 3.39%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 10, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Militaire
  • Natoyoum Osee 25' yellowcard
  • Ahmad Ngouyamsa 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wilfried Singo 22'
  • goal Jean-Philippe Krasso 45'+3'
  • goal Oumar Diakite 55'
  • yellowcard Evan N'Dicka 67'