Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 64.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.22% and a win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 0-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%) , while for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win it was 2-1 (4.79%).