Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.02% and a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%) , while for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win it was 2-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.