Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 60.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.97% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%) , while for a Ashdod win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.