Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Petah Tikva win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 23.27% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%) , while for a Ashdod win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.