Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 73.03%. A draw had a probability of 15.57% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 11.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-3 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%) , while for a Ashdod win it was 2-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.