Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Beitar Jerusalem win was 2-1 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.