Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.98% and a win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.