Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-2 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.