Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.59% and a win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 16.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%) , while for a Hapoel Jerusalem win it was 1-0 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.