Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.82% and a win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 16.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%) , while for a Hapoel Jerusalem win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.