Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 68.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.32% and a win for Ironi Tiberias had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.16%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%) , while for a Ironi Tiberias win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.