Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Ironi Kiryat Shmona had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Ironi Kiryat Shmona win was 0-1 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.