Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 1-2 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.